Notes on cases classification
Sometime around March 2020 CEAC database started showing cases that were undergoing Administrative Processing as Refused
. That is "technically" a more accurate choice since it is a refusal under section 221(g) of the Immigration and Nationality Act. However, since most of those cases resolve to Issued
after some time, for purpose of determining how many people are getting DV visa it's more convenient to keep the old classification. Fortunately, it's still possible to distinguish between a 221(g) refusal and an ultimate refusal if you consider the case status message in CEAC. There are two types of wording for refused cases:
- A U.S. consular officer has adjudicated and refused your visa application. Please see the letter you received at the interview.
- A U.S. consular officer has adjudicated and refused your visa application. Please follow any instructions provided by the consular officer. If you were informed by the consular officer that your case was refused for administrative processing, your case will remain refused while undergoing such processing...
This allows us to assume that the latter phrasing indicates 221(g) refusal. All charts and tables on this page follow this hypothesis during case classification. Additionally, in raw csv dumps there's now a new column potentialAP
that indicates wording in the CEAC status message. (0 - refusal, 1 - potential AP).